Fifa International · resolved market
United States leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a0d3434e1a772a4f060ff43572904b1997cd108f60b0e4511711399ffd10e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,037,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,079,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 140,284$72,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,993.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 107,272$55,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,618.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 78,450$38,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,120.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 61,736$18,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,869.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 44c | 53,491$23,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,536.05 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 39,753$18,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,086.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 59c | 36,000$21,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,338.2 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 56c | 35,551$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,550.83 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 56c | 29,006$16,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,812.32 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 44c | 27,086$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,949.89 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 44c | 26,000$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,439.99 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 3c | 24,034$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Yes | 55c | 20,055$10,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.85 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 16,493$7,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.35 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 43c | 15,538$6,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.64 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 13,603$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.93 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 11,963$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 54c | 10,929$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.36 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 51c | 10,575$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.02 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 18c | 10,064$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,263.5 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 49c | 8,822$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.33 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 8,194$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 46c | 6,799$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.1 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 56c | 6,700$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…b2ddbacked No | 1c | 6,396$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 44c | 6,300$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 6,081$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 45c | 6,017$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.65 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 45c | 5,986$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.53 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 5,560$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.76 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 59c | 5,079$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.95 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 48c | 5,027$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.14 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 1c | 5,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 4,991$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 46c | 4,956$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.23 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 47c | 4,494$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.41 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Yes | 51c | 4,214$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.17 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 3c | 4,127$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 4,096$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.06 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 3,799$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.71 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked No | 45c | 3,111$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,111$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.09 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 2,958$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,898$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.63 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 54c | 2,839$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.93 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,592$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.11 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked No | 1c | 2,530$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,326$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.43 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 55c | 2,228$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.8 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 80c | 2,197$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.92 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,182$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.09 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 63c | 2,179$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.08 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 29c | 2,174$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 45c | 2,174$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.65 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 2,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 3c | 2,165$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 25c | 1,999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.49 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 55c | 1,918$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.18 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 44c | 1,903$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.52 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed No | 4c | 1,899$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,845$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.42 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,808$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.64 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 64c | 1,807$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.88 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.9 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 44c | 1,763$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.69 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 50c | 1,721$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.08 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 59c | 1,575$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.83 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Yes | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 4c | 1,552$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,499$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.9 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 44c | 1,238$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 55c | 1,214$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.25 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 59c | 1,151$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed No | 46c | 1,143$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 47c | 1,125$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…e736backed Yes | 50c | 1,122$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 49c | 1,105$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.56 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 56c | 1,101$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.73 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 1,057$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.84 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 46c | 1,017$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…c685backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States leading at halftime?this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.