NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3542b403520f0405b4ac4b26e85930ff8f3d545d607f0cac4aedc983dd312ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Red Wings | 44c | 101,989$44,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,113.91 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 56c | 25,434$14,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,243.11 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 56c | 24,484$13,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,711.74 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rangers | 56c | 20,600$11,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,536 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rangers | 56c | 15,033$8,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,418.46 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 44c | 15,000$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,394.07 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 45c | 10,120$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.87 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Rangers | 56c | 10,000$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.24 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 44c | 7,893$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 46c | 7,727$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.89 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 56c | 7,333$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…87bbbacked Rangers | 56c | 4,643$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rangers | 55c | 4,540$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Rangers | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Rangers | 56c | 3,800$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Wings | 47c | 3,226$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.78 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rangers | 41c | 3,101$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.33 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rangers | 56c | 2,575$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rangers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Rangers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 55c | 1,847$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 55c | 1,815$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.23 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,705$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.04 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rangers | 56c | 1,560$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.64 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Rangers | 57c | 1,509$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…9bbdbacked Rangers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Rangers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 52c | 1,412$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 56c | 1,380$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,325$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Red Wings | 44c | 852$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.12 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Rangers | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…8447backed Red Wings | 44c | 788.64$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.64 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Red Wings | 58c | 726.36$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rangers | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Red Wings | 43c | 709.73$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.54 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Rangers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Rangers | 56c | 680.36$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 46c | 622.67$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…fa59backed Rangers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…713abacked Red Wings | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…7005backed Red Wings | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…37a8backed Rangers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Rangers | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…8495backed Rangers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…074cbacked Rangers | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…0d1dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…b01ebacked Red Wings | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…d241backed Rangers | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…5674backed Rangers | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…9fd2backed Rangers | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…735dbacked Rangers | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…9971backed Red Wings | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…1fabbacked Rangers | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…705dbacked Red Wings | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…f5a4backed Red Wings | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…d7e1backed Red Wings | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7155backed Red Wings | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…2764backed Rangers | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…03f3backed Rangers | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…4ccdbacked Rangers | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127c…63c3backed Red Wings | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…92a0backed Red Wings | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…5b2fbacked Rangers | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028b…891dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…0897backed Red Wings | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…701dbacked Red Wings | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…9ce7backed Rangers | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fc…63a1backed Rangers | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267f…c338backed Rangers | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3d7fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…25b1backed Red Wings | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…8e23backed Rangers | 58c | 580$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…a881backed Red Wings | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…004cbacked Rangers | 58c | 570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d13…1e0abacked Rangers | 58c | 570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b04…42dbbacked Rangers | 59c | 570$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cb77backed Red Wings | 42c | 570$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…4270backed Red Wings | 42c | 570$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…83eebacked Rangers | 59c | 570$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…e984backed Rangers | 58c | 570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…2694backed Red Wings | 41c | 570$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb91…ca29backed Red Wings | 41c | 570$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…796fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 570$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…453bbacked Rangers | 58c | 560$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…789ebacked Rangers | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfc…5accbacked Red Wings | 42c | 560$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…d238backed Rangers | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c0…86a2backed Red Wings | 41c | 560$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be7…a084backed Red Wings | 41c | 560$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…f4e2backed Red Wings | 42c | 560$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb136…5e98backed Rangers | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…68b6backed Rangers | 58c | 560$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…1856backed Rangers | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…603ebacked Rangers | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…352abacked Rangers | 58c | 560$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Rangersthis page
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.