NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd20f0f9f95ebd889edc5bafa75ec2678743d621a49adef4512257efc6e6f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Timberwolves, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 50c | 252,734$126,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,368.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pelicans | 50c | 105,926$52,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,026.16 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Pelicans | 50c | 60,392$30,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,196.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 31,385$15,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,777.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 50c | 18,766$9,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,443 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 50c | 17,927$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.58 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans | 49c | 9,030$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.26 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,388$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,196$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…94fdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,543$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.49 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,424$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,153$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Timberwolves | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 51c | 911$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Pelicans | 46c | 838.77$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Pelicans | 49c | 687.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Pelicans | 48c | 608.39$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Timberwolves | 60c | 595.77$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 554.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 49c | 517.7$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pelicans | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Timberwolves | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Timberwolves | 42c | 441$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Pelicans | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Pelicans | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Timberwolves | 51c | 240$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 220.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Timberwolves | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pelicans | 50c | 198.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pelicans | 48c | 149.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Timberwolves | 56c | 111.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…5218backed Timberwolves | 46c | 104.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 40c | 104.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Pelicans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Pelicans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pelicans | 50c | 101.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3b03backed Pelicans | 51c | 98.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Timberwolves | 22c | 86.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 47c | 83.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Pelicans | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 73.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Pelicans | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Timberwolves | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 42c | 52.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Pelicans | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Timberwolves | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 49.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…d59dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Timberwolves | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Pelicans | 52c | 43.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…d330backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…af47backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Timberwolves | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 50c | 36.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Pelicans | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pelicans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…0bd6backed Pelicans | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Pelicans | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 37c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Timberwolves vs. PelicansTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.