NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1861eccf0f155000b497b9bf2b88048b7550220ab2ba40c04e30ddf5dc95a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 48,411$24,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,942.05 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 44,198$21,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,927.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 34,810$18,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,057.82 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 51c | 11,455$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.24 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 52c | 9,999$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.52 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…e302backed Over | 49c | 5,857$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa495…cc3bbacked Under | 49c | 5,654$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 5,520$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.6 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 52c | 5,107$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.26 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 5,030$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.79 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 2,942$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.54 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…13d0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…00f6backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 1,597$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Under | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 49c | 1,435$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.89 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,093$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 48c | 884$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 787.09$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 703$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 50c | 569$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 455.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.11 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 6c | 413.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.58 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 404.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Over | 80c | 396$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 379$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 369.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 330.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 18c | 315.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 50c | 154.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Over | 50c | 142.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 51c | 133.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 60c | 124.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 122.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Under | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…4a99backed Under | 50c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 110.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…502cbacked Over | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…f485backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 88.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6c50backed Over | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 49c | 82.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2dd2backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…d59dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…27efbacked Under | 48c | 48.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…7df4backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 51c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Timberwolves vs. PelicansTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.