NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1e7bb98b9e233511154816a8d7ec59d47b2965c6139eb4ab9015d010d9a852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 13,906$7,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,330.65 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 10,625$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.43 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…e4a6backed Over | 51c | 6,183$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,174$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Over | 51c | 4,443$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.92 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…2353backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…6221backed Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 51c | 1,257$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.13 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 1,133$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Under | 54c | 722.7$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 696.12$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 47c | 350.77$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 39c | 315$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 151$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Over | 78c | 148.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6c50backed Over | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…d732backed Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 18c | 61.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…fac3backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…8922backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…9b74backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…8400backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 52c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…049fbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…25debacked Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…e54fbacked Over | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…cf91backed Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…e256backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Timberwolves vs. PelicansTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.