NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd11a119d9fb525620adf261928e2933db8f7f2d0896d1a19a56dae091433d74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 47c | 78,882$37,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,569.17 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Devils | 55c | 40,526$22,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,289.41 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Devils | 10c | 32,544$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.44 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Devils | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 55c | 10,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Devils | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Devils | 7c | 7,745$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.15 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Flyers | 43c | 6,999$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.42 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flyers | 44c | 4,348$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.69 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Devils | 56c | 3,049$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.44 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 54c | 2,320$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.2 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Flyers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,923$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.72 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Flyers | 44c | 1,773$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.72 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 44c | 1,610$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.7 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Devils | 14c | 1,592$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 4c | 1,583$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 56c | 1,563$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Devils | 41c | 1,531$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Devils | 56c | 1,520$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.6 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Devils | 56c | 1,448$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Devils | 17c | 1,447$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,400$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devils | 2c | 1,034$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed Flyers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Devils | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Devils | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Devils | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 25c | 993.72$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils | 55c | 954$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 34c | 783.94$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.26 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Devils | 34c | 783.61$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 40c | 780.75$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Devils | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils | 57c | 612$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flyers | 45c | 556.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Devils | 55c | 516.55$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Devils | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Devils | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 56c | 499.95$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.31 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Devils | 20c | 468.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Flyers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 55c | 441.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Flyers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Flyers | 44c | 377$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Devils | 54c | 367.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 42c | 364.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devils | 24c | 362.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Flyers | 63c | 357.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Devils | 24c | 348.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d6…22ddbacked Devils | 29c | 341.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Flyers | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Devils | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Devils | 59c | 278$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 60c | 256$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 43c | 252.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 40c | 250.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed Flyers | 47c | 239.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Devils | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Flyers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Flyers | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Flyers | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Flyers | 46c | 218.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Devils | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Flyers | 46c | 216.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Devils | 17c | 211.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Devils | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Flyers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Flyers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Flyers | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Devils | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Devils | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Devils | 19c | 173.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Devils | 56c | 167$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Flyers | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Devils | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Devils | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Flyers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Flyers | 45c | 134.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 44c | 132$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Devils | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…2ecabacked Devils | 57c | 129.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Flyers | 45c | 122.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Devils | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…bd0cbacked Flyers | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Flyers | 43c | 113.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Devils | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 44c | 109.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0629…e549backed Flyers | 45c | 105.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Flyers | 47c | 102.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Devils | 38c | 102.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Devils | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Devilsthis page
- Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.