Poker · resolved market
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a255718cbf3c7f7abc411baaa065e5a23dbed10620dcfae42395fe367cd64a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 68c | 7,815$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6bd2backed Yes | 28c | 6,760$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…bee4backed Yes | 32c | 2,080$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…59d0backed Yes | 18c | 1,823$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…f8e4backed No | 75c | 1,693$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed No | 74c | 1,626$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Yes | 28c | 1,599$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 68c | 1,300$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…b62fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,129$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 21c | 929.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 19c | 901.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…c10dbacked Yes | 35c | 861.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…3929backed Yes | 24c | 821.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 15c | 725$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 721.92$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 80c | 704.98$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 31c | 671.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfba…67debacked No | 75c | 667.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 33c | 569.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 11c | 556.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed No | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60d…ebfdbacked Yes | 24c | 443.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…edd2backed Yes | 32c | 400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…1723backed No | 71c | 385.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…8e79backed Yes | 33c | 318.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 73c | 312.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Yes | 25c | 300.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…5e3abacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Yes | 31c | 280$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…657fbacked Yes | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…df38backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2143…2e6fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 27c | 247.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 70c | 227.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 218.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…1993backed Yes | 33c | 200.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…eab3backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +325%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…92e2backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…06a5backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…586abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…fc5cbacked Yes | 27c | 186.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 71c | 164.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…71b9backed Yes | 29c | 164.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…dd32backed No | 75c | 154.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…e480backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 28c | 149.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…c514backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…9d9cbacked No | 69c | 145.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…86b9backed No | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 31c | 131$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 76c | 130.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 69c | 117$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…c5c5backed Yes | 18c | 111.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde09…2150backed Yes | 32c | 102.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…b5dbbacked Yes | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…e93dbacked Yes | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…396abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…4e11backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…3b0fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…3f90backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…8839backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…9d52backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…8ee9backed No | 65c | 99.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +254.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…5bb1backed Yes | 18c | 98.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…861bbacked No | 65c | 98.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3be…94e4backed No | 69c | 78.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…64b8backed Yes | 22c | 75.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 31c | 70.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…7af5backed No | 75c | 66.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed No | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Yes | 29c | 51.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…66f4backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…27debacked Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…4ecabacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…2cb0backed No | 78c | 28.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…dd0ebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…0272backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…4059backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3782…a78bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.