Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Kent vs Somerset
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ba7d2a3066b4eb4b355d3aa1c6fceb0f8a0ca8d304f6e6622c25946fcdfd8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentof Kent, Somerset
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Somerset | 26c | 3,434$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.35 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…9645backed Somerset | 30c | 1,300$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Somerset | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Kent | 73c | 667.81$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Somerset | 47c | 506$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Kent | 57c | 459.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Somerset | 35c | 358.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kent | 51c | 354.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kent | 53c | 316.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kent | 70c | 304.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kent | 53c | 280.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Somerset | 37c | 224.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kent | 48c | 220.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Kent | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Kent | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Somerset | 49c | 161$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Somerset | 51c | 159.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Somerset | 59c | 142$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…c487backed Kent | 38c | 141.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Kent | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kent | 61c | 132.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kent | 68c | 113.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Somerset | 35c | 108.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kent | 60c | 102.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Somerset | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4781backed Somerset | 34c | 98.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Somerset | 60c | 95.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 56c | 95.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Somerset | 46c | 88.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kent | 52c | 72.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kent | 59c | 64.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Somerset | 46c | 57.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Somerset | 46c | 48.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Kent | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Kent | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kent | 56c | 32.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Somerset | 33c | 31.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Somerset | 44c | 31.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Somerset | 51c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kent | 57c | 24.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Somerset | 51c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…869abacked Somerset | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kent | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Somerset | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Kent | 53c | 18.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.