NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4527e9742319787b8595dc9b2c5db7dd9ca936f844597b81aaa46247b430c5b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Penguins, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 40c | 127,295$50,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,918.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Senators | 60c | 97,193$58,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,918.15 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Senators | 60c | 55,178$33,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,071.38 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 22c | 45,000$9,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,876.69 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Senators | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Senators | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Penguins | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Penguins | 40c | 18,888$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Senators | 60c | 14,942$8,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.94 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Senators | 60c | 13,014$7,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Senators | 60c | 8,750$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Penguins | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 0c | 7,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Penguins | 34c | 6,227$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Penguins | 40c | 6,118$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.97 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 70c | 5,846$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.49 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 44c | 5,269$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 40c | 4,995$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Senators | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Senators | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.97 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 75c | 3,496$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.25 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 75c | 3,437$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.29 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 40c | 3,423$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.2 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 58c | 3,144$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.21 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 0c | 3,096$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Senators | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Penguins | 39c | 2,761$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.89 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Senators | 77c | 2,711$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 59c | 2,640$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.09 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 53c | 2,609$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Senators | 59c | 2,470$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.83 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Penguins | 29c | 2,346$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.32 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Penguins | 39c | 2,170$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.3 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 3c | 2,071$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 40c | 2,025$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 40c | 2,000$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.44 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Penguins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…eb81backed Penguins | 13c | 1,889$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Penguins | 40c | 1,881$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.46 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 61c | 1,806$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.02 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Penguins | 41c | 1,732$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 34c | 1,729$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.48 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Senators | 61c | 1,595$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.08 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 70c | 1,466$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 32c | 1,450$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 60c | 1,375$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.18 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penguins | 28c | 1,323$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.78 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…d9d2backed Penguins | 40c | 1,130$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 60c | 1,130$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 60c | 1,103$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.64 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 41c | 1,091$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.31 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Penguins | 40c | 1,088$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Penguins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed Penguins | 2c | 999.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Penguins | 20c | 848.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 60c | 843$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Senators | 74c | 841.37$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Senators | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Penguins | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Penguins | 40c | 799.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Penguins | 40c | 794.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Penguins | 40c | 754.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb396…5d60backed Penguins | 41c | 751.22$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…13d6backed Senators | 60c | 751.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Penguins | 39c | 709$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Senators | 59c | 692.96$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Penguins | 31c | 639.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Senators | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 72c | 612.1$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Penguins | 11c | 608.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Penguins | 41c | 600$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Penguins | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Penguins | 40c | 500.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Senators | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Senators | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Senators | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 40c | 489.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Penguins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Penguins | 40c | 485.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Senators | 56c | 480$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Penguins | 40c | 408.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Penguins | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators | 60c | 382.39$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Senators | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Penguins | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Penguins | 41c | 368.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Penguins | 40c | 365$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Penguins | 40c | 349.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Senators | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Senators | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Penguins | 30c | 300.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Senatorsthis page
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.