NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a1fc76f5da6d25f24ca40aec28689626503ff33bb8927efde0e2ea24013a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Grizzlies, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $639,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $734,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Grizzlies | 22c | 150,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Raptors | 64c | 35,834$22,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900.07 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Raptors | 64c | 28,568$18,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350.61 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 27,479$9,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,711.87 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…c1efbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 24,728$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,524.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 63c | 18,974$11,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.34 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 37c | 15,132$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.71 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Grizzlies | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Raptors | 62c | 13,350$8,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.38 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 11,914$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.08 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…7ff2backed Grizzlies | 19c | 11,530$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies | 12c | 10,847$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.6 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 37c | 9,266$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Raptors | 65c | 8,888$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.79 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 7,040$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.76 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Raptors | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Grizzlies | 28c | 5,999$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 62c | 5,300$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 63c | 5,190$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raptors | 65c | 5,157$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.52 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 35c | 5,100$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 4,942$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 72c | 4,461$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.34 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Raptors | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 65c | 3,517$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.89 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Raptors | 62c | 3,160$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.12 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Grizzlies | 39c | 3,095$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Raptors | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 34c | 2,682$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.45 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 2,600$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.33 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 62c | 2,499$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.88 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…881ebacked Raptors | 63c | 2,492$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Grizzlies | 38c | 2,297$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.81 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies | 38c | 2,297$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.8 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Raptors | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Raptors | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.91 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,787$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.68 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Raptors | 67c | 1,733$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 1,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…9527backed Raptors | 66c | 1,638$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Raptors | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 65c | 1,606$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.85 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,434$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…2868backed Raptors | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…4ea0backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,350$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,322$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.15 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Raptors | 65c | 1,321$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 63c | 1,062$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.19 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,050$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 1,006$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raptors | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…449bbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…e0d5backed Grizzlies | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…7b86backed Grizzlies | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Raptors | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…7f76backed Raptors | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Grizzlies | 34c | 999.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors | 63c | 991$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.36 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Raptors | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 940.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Raptors | 79c | 871.12$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Grizzlies | 35c | 867.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa861…8ec4backed Raptors | 67c | 867$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Raptors | 62c | 856.93$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Raptors | 62c | 840.1$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.44 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…ab60backed Raptors | 66c | 831.82$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Raptors | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 65c | 785$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.75 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Grizzlies | 11c | 775.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 32c | 759.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.09 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Grizzlies | 33c | 727.27$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Raptors | 55c | 725.2$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.9 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Raptors | 62c | 675$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 61c | 650.05$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Grizzlies | 35c | 648.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Grizzlies | 34c | 646.11$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.68 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 627.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Raptors | 48c | 620.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Grizzlies | 34c | 575$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Raptors | 73c | 573.24$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…449fbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 500.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Grizzlies | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…54d1backed Grizzlies | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…802dbacked Raptors | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Raptors | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Raptors | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…d699backed Raptors | 62c | 475$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies | 43c | 473.21$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Raptors | 63c | 431.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Grizzlies | 35c | 417$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Raptorsthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.