Fifa International · resolved market
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bd058d786afc205147c7227bb59b5b04ddba444244a0e6d246d8fa416c130c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 21,860$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.49 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 11,310$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.06 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 25c | 10,125$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.01 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 7,554$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 75c | 7,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 20c | 5,025$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 24c | 4,452$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.45 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 23c | 3,000$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.96 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 25c | 2,944$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 23c | 2,556$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.89 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 75c | 2,550$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 24c | 2,050$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,027$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.74 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 61c | 1,689$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…2aeabacked No | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Yes | 77c | 1,400$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 77c | 1,285$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 23c | 1,215$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 20c | 1,200$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,093$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 18c | 1,016$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 66c | 1,008$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 8c | 949.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 19c | 851.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 19c | 789$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Yes | 76c | 768$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 38c | 752.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 19c | 692.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 76c | 580$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…5628backed Yes | 77c | 568.83$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 24c | 483.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…c146backed Yes | 73c | 472.63$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 19c | 375$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 78c | 352.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 74c | 342.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 77c | 327.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 25c | 310$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 25c | 297.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 71c | 296.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 23c | 290.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 277$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 75c | 267$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 74c | 266.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…96a4backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 76c | 255.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…e222backed Yes | 77c | 235.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 23c | 207.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 76c | 182.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 24c | 156.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…7dd1backed Yes | 77c | 140.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 71c | 137$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 24c | 130.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 76c | 126.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 75c | 110.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes | 77c | 100.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 78c | 96.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 24c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 77c | 80.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed No | 36c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 26c | 70.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 21c | 66.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 76c | 65.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 74c | 61.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 298 | 46%137 W · 161 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…8383backed Yes | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 78c | 57.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 34c | 51.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 78c | 51.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Bulgaria vs. Türkiye end in a draw?No won
- Will Bulgaria win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.