TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No20c21,860$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.4924647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No20c11,310$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.0628133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No25c10,125$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.017630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c7,554$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes75c7,500$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87517842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No20c5,025$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No24c4,452$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.459322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No23c3,000$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.9617345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes77c3,000$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.84666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No25c2,944$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.672334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No23c2,556$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.898240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes75c2,550$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.54341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.995238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No24c2,050$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes76c2,027$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.748960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8004367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes61c1,689$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.711866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…2aeabacked No24c1,400$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc118…f4f4backed Yes77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7936038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes77c1,285$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.527247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No23c1,215$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.556643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No20c1,200$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick38cpaid+63.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c1,093$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes76c1,053$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.635352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No18c1,016$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.116845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes66c1,008$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No24c999.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9916244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No8c949.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.681520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No19c851.08$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.143953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No19c789$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9112047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf068…6184backed Yes76c768$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.095158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No38c752.35$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.893633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No19c692.65$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.62445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Yes76c580$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe939…5628backed Yes77c568.83$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12527434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed No24c483.87$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.781020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c47…c146backed Yes73c472.63$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7410431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No19c375$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.753638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes78c352.05$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.453520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes74c342.49$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.055538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.956643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes77c327.04$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.221668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No25c310$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No25c297.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.352040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes71c296.88$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.323148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No23c290.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4820322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c277$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2522959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes75c267$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7514040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes74c266.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2426354.8%144 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70c2…96a4backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes76c255.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.261656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2411…e222backed Yes77c235.01$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No23c207.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.49046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes76c182.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.141,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No24c156.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5910056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes77c155$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.659643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6d…7dd1backed Yes77c140.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes71c137$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.731070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5813258.3%77 W · 55 L-0.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c6…21bfbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7647…9f44backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No24c130.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.233528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes76c126.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.321275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes75c110.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes77c100.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda8…a833backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes78c96.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.310366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No25c91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.753732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a6…b9c7backed No24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No24c81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8478927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes77c80.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed No36c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes76c72.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No26c70.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes70c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16040%24 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No21c66.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9511259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes76c65.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.581957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes74c61.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0829846%137 W · 161 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de3…8383backed Yes76c57.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes78c57.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87744.2%34 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f8…55ffbacked No34c51.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+291.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes78c51.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.