College Football · resolved market
California vs. Stanford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a33b9d72477239fa9d2429ef2e6a250068381bb1298d703434b5898b72a60b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanfordof California, Stanford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed California | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…c770backed Stanford | 46c | 24,114$11,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,962.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed California | 63c | 15,865$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Stanford | 37c | 10,801$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Stanford | 53c | 10,666$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.68 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford | 50c | 9,785$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.98 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Stanford | 44c | 7,295$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.33 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed California | 47c | 6,548$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.78 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California | 59c | 6,409$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.38 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stanford | 35c | 5,642$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.42 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked California | 44c | 5,570$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.66 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California | 63c | 5,408$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.7 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California | 62c | 5,171$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.28 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 49c | 4,409$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.5 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed California | 39c | 3,561$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.41 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stanford | 37c | 3,314$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.82 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California | 47c | 3,127$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.46 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Stanford | 39c | 2,398$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.73 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stanford | 40c | 1,967$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.15 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California | 49c | 1,832$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.47 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed California | 63c | 1,700$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed California | 57c | 1,653$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.08 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed California | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California | 47c | 1,532$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.17 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stanford | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Stanford | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed California | 59c | 1,311$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.78 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…dd3bbacked Stanford | 43c | 1,185$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed California | 52c | 1,130$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.45 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California | 59c | 1,041$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.32 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed California | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed California | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stanford | 39c | 1,000$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.79 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California | 61c | 866.27$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.26 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Stanford | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked California | 61c | 764.24$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked California | 64c | 626$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed Stanford | 37c | 516.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked California | 64c | 499.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed California | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…8f64backed California | 52c | 449.85$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed California | 44c | 343.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stanford | 49c | 320.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed California | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…178cbacked Stanford | 39c | 298$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Stanford | 53c | 285$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stanford | 39c | 280.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…1545backed Stanford | 39c | 279$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…7a94backed Stanford | 40c | 267$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Stanford | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed California | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…aacebacked California | 61c | 245$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stanford | 41c | 238$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed California | 62c | 234.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked California | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…41a4backed California | 61c | 219$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…433bbacked California | 61c | 205$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed California | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…a759backed California | 61c | 193$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Stanford | 40c | 188$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed California | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Stanford | 69c | 171.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford | 41c | 151.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…5911backed Stanford | 40c | 148$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stanford | 33c | 146.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…fa25backed Stanford | 40c | 137$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed California | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked California | 44c | 136.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked California | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Stanford | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Stanford | 37c | 111.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed California | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed California | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stanford | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Stanford | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked California | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed California | 63c | 95.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed Stanford | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…6b2abacked Stanford | 30c | 82.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed California | 53c | 80.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked California | 51c | 78.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed California | 64c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b798backed California | 56c | 70.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Stanford | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…99c7backed California | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…6576backed Stanford | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Stanford | 51c | 59.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed California | 54c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…6e7dbacked Stanford | 51c | 54.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…1fc0backed Stanford | 40c | 54.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…8780backed California | 50c | 50.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…b602backed California | 34c | 50.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Stanford | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Stanford | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed California | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Stanford | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…5366backed Stanford | 40c | 48.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Stanford | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California vs. Stanfordthis page
- Spread: California (-3.5)Stanford won
- Spread: California (-4.5)Stanford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.