College Football · resolved market
Louisville vs. Miami
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49afdc2072ba5ddea5f41258aae271afec1f5ccef877f2d1a2f5e8e0f5c3adb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisvilleof Louisville, Miami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,339,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,683,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,339,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Louisville | 19c | 359,521$68,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291,504.97 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Louisville | 35c | 281,972$98,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,281.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Louisville | 32c | 226,428$71,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,078.47 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Louisville | 19c | 199,422$38,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,946.87 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Louisville | 21c | 182,118$37,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,617.17 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Louisville | 19c | 158,510$30,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,393.07 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Miami | 59c | 119,000$69,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,671.59 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Miami | 76c | 97,401$74,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,193.2 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Louisville | 31c | 91,964$28,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,362.74 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Louisville | 16c | 69,936$11,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,543.71 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Miami | 52c | 65,769$34,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,152.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Louisville | 60c | 62,818$37,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,003.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Louisville | 19c | 55,582$10,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,071.55 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Louisville | 59c | 52,494$30,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,634.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Louisville | 19c | 50,000$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,500 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Louisville | 71c | 39,469$28,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,281.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Louisville | 62c | 31,944$19,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,226.5 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Louisville | 18c | 31,632$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,821.52 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Louisville | 44c | 31,603$13,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,819.82 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Louisville | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,900 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Louisville | 46c | 27,438$12,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,724.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Louisville | 19c | 25,775$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,877.57 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Louisville | 18c | 24,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.98 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami | 52c | 22,484$11,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,745.44 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Louisville | 19c | 19,664$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,927.84 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Louisville | 28c | 17,425$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,524.46 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Louisville | 19c | 17,388$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.11 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…3cbebacked Miami | 56c | 16,000$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,040 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Louisville | 48c | 13,785$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.7 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Miami | 2c | 12,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Louisville | 19c | 11,174$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050.94 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Louisville | 54c | 11,101$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Louisville | 19c | 10,953$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,871.63 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Miami | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Louisville | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami | 48c | 9,254$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.81 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Miami | 80c | 9,140$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,311.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Louisville | 45c | 8,846$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Louisville | 17c | 8,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Louisville | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami | 50c | 7,207$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.31 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Louisville | 19c | 6,925$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.14 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Louisville | 18c | 6,826$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.78 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Miami | 37c | 6,621$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.81 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Miami | 62c | 6,297$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.35 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Louisville | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Louisville | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Louisville | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.97 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…4ea0backed Louisville | 17c | 5,470$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville | 34c | 5,136$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.74 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Louisville | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Louisville | 43c | 4,276$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Miami | 61c | 4,020$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.46 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Miami | 63c | 3,941$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Louisville | 56c | 3,607$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Louisville | 19c | 3,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Miami | 59c | 3,405$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Louisville | 57c | 3,400$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisville | 18c | 3,221$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Miami | 42c | 3,050$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…6456backed Louisville | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Louisville | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…ba19backed Louisville | 40c | 2,731$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…d834backed Miami | 60c | 2,731$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…a760backed Louisville | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Miami | 59c | 2,601$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.56 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Louisville | 19c | 2,600$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…317ebacked Miami | 56c | 2,517$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Louisville | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Louisville | 67c | 2,418$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.61 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…9a68backed Louisville | 57c | 2,315$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…e215backed Miami | 43c | 2,315$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…3977backed Louisville | 48c | 2,172$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…1cdabacked Miami | 52c | 2,172$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed Miami | 79c | 2,163$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Louisville | 58c | 2,157$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.03 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…fd77backed Louisville | 18c | 2,044$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Miami | 56c | 2,005$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.44 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Louisville | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Miami | 36c | 2,000$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.79 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a7…bfd0backed Louisville | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Louisville | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…8ceebacked Louisville | 52c | 1,859$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Miami | 43c | 1,833$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.87 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Louisville | 17c | 1,755$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.74 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Miami | 55c | 1,623$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.11 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Miami | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…96dbbacked Louisville | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Louisville | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Louisville | 18c | 1,430$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.9 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Miami | 63c | 1,400$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Louisville | 34c | 1,353$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.18 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Louisville | 58c | 1,320$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Miami | 54c | 1,314$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.06 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Miami | 59c | 1,262$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.94 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Miami | 1c | 1,255$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…5fc8backed Louisville | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Miami | 42c | 1,111$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.58 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Louisville | 67c | 1,100$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisville | 17c | 1,001$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.01 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville vs. Miamithis page
- Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 49.5Under won
- Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 50.5Under won
- Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 51.5Under won
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (-10.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Miami (-12.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Miami (-13.5)Louisville won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.