College Football · resolved market
Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b58c78909ab0bf8bc6fcd868e7cf66e730d3d5c5f1a0bf56f74c52ac9a1d1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 55c | 12,209$6,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 8,219$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.54 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Over | 44c | 3,693$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.86 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 51c | 1,691$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.59 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…2820backed Under | 53c | 1,506$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…74bdbacked Over | 47c | 1,506$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 1,333$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.05 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a0…89ebbacked Under | 54c | 1,302$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…a03cbacked Over | 46c | 1,302$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…17a3backed Under | 53c | 1,195$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…6de1backed Over | 47c | 1,195$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 48c | 651.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.55 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 282.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…c094backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Under | 58c | 55.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 42.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…6821backed Over | 45c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 51.5this page
- Louisville vs. MiamiLouisville won
- Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 49.5Under won
- Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (-10.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Miami (-12.5)Louisville won
- Spread: Miami (-13.5)Louisville won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.