Fifa International · resolved market
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35da685880bee04daccebc1b16e9f6f7beaa6488962a8fb6c47d2a370d098791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 16c | 9,161$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,984$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.26 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,250$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.43 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 16c | 2,157$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Yes | 17c | 1,659$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8c7ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,451$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,348$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…9943backed Yes | 16c | 1,259$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 18c | 1,124$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 19c | 513.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1443backed Yes | 16c | 362.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 20c | 294$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 18c | 270.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 16c | 205.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf2…1d7ebacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…631fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 132.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 17c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 18c | 71.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…148dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…2327backed Yes | 19c | 61.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e524backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?No won
- Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.