Champions League · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf800381bfda39c81ec1466629f5d82f3ee27aa26acd85de78aae7cd1a43442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 51c | 63,037$32,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,675.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 39,323$23,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,303.59 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 31c | 19,302$5,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 6,451$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.73 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 22c | 2,222$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 1c | 2,101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…8cc8backed No | 79c | 1,723$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,639$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.44 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,587$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.46 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 62c | 1,573$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 45c | 1,258$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 68c | 1,105$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.82 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 33c | 674.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 40c | 653.87$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 457.56$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.14 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Yes | 74c | 406.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…b243backed Yes | 71c | 381.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…f4f0backed Yes | 27c | 211$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 194.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…ee3dbacked Yes | 25c | 190$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 165.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 79c | 160.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 72c | 158.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Yes | 43c | 157.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…0e4abacked Yes | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 22c | 147$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…b0a7backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 56c | 128.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 66c | 128.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 21c | 126.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 78c | 126.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 35c | 118.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 59c | 97.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 27c | 93.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…a5e9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…bb87backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 81.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 78c | 76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Yes | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed No | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…abf8backed Yes | 23c | 67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 66.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 74c | 65.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 23c | 64.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 20c | 62.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…0751backed Yes | 26c | 61.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…d5b8backed No | 78c | 45.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 57c | 37.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…e5b3backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 78c | 36.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Yes | 72c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.