Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia vs. Uganda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2546823d9e674ec9cdada61293a76cbfec7b3ccacbe31a4055cbf7d25f41708e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,254$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,236$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 4c | 1,228$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,022$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 72c | 999.91$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 841.98$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 426.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 9c | 394$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 17c | 387.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 29c | 313.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 72c | 182$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes | 29c | 154.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes | 16c | 152.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 71c | 120.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 29c | 116.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…06f1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…fcc3backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 71c | 21.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…1683backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia vs. Uganda end in a draw?this page
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?Yes won
- Will Uganda win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.