South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd705cb52a282c6c81f15d6c9eb8ab6132262e068a4d0bc33c051884bc08b7485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 35,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,250 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 5,147$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 36c | 4,201$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.75 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 39c | 4,118$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.95 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 60c | 2,346$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 2,253$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.62 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed No | 64c | 1,588$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,586$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,530$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.1 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 61c | 1,200$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.98 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 1,023$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.99 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…b641backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…f57dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 464.4$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 41c | 413.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 351.44$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 58c | 320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 40c | 300.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 38c | 263.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Yes | 37c | 214.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 38c | 133.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 37c | 70.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 37c | 67.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 37c | 53.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 38c | 53.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 50.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…de71backed Yes | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…830fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…da31backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 56c | 46.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 38.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…7760backed Yes | 41c | 35.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…3f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…43dcbacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 39c | 30.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…c7a7backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.