South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa34e877c4e4a5f1aa033b8598b6172887faeeb85b549788a83ae1a7ded5de9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,020$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 75c | 1,690$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.56 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 26c | 1,506$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 25c | 1,016$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 25c | 972.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 74c | 941.2$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 26c | 799.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 76c | 765.88$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 79c | 744.16$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 75c | 707.09$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 568.26$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 20c | 529.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 23c | 313.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed No | 75c | 168.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 139.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 89.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…cb57backed No | 78c | 86.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 29c | 68.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 23c | 52.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…830fbacked No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 28c | 40.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…880bbacked No | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 80c | 29.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 72c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…3244backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…7760backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.