Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania vs. England end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad8a709f8796689b3a0bdbd11e654daa48f562149694d55e1f4aa60e4b3eb38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,080$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.01 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 2,076$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.01 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,069$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…e902backed Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…9d27backed Yes | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 22c | 1,187$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…042ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 10c | 955$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 37c | 652.32$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 542.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 19c | 500.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 453.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…703cbacked Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 14c | 366.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 343.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 21c | 291.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 19c | 242.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…0e11backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 70c | 150.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 28c | 132.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 130.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…631fbacked No | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 127.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 20c | 123.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 80c | 108.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 106.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4a04backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 68c | 90.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 37c | 85.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 81.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 78.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 42c | 77.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f8…8066backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…dd9fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2319…4029backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…d895backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…5c40backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 73c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania vs. England end in a draw?this page
- Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will England win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.