Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eec02338e4ca65b2ce072092b3b1e9c3b455f5985df8ec837046e3a0711731f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 9c | 30,880$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1b…cbd2backed Yes | 4c | 17,700$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 8,294$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.96 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 10c | 8,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 9c | 5,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 8c | 4,371$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 9c | 2,472$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…703cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 999.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 9c | 778.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 621$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 9c | 594.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 499.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 5c | 492.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 8c | 322.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Yes | 7c | 311$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 8c | 261.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 244$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…793fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 8c | 196.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 8c | 187.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes | 9c | 161.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 10c | 159.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…2012backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…c1b0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…0274backed Yes | 11c | 122.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 9c | 109.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…2a31backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Albania vs. England end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.