TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Gauff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Gauff34c31,319$10,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,527.3622037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Sabalenka65c30,633$19,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,657.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gauff17c19,279$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,229.638,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Gauff34c7,117$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.564930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6526…d472backed Sabalenka65c6,950$4,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964d…5194backed Sabalenka55c6,934$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Sabalenka45c5,203$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.277857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Sabalenka65c4,723$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.157375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…cef0backed Gauff35c4,200$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gauff30c4,146$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.4128952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Sabalenka65c3,846$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.1511060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gauff37c3,830$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Sabalenka54c3,275$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.036100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Sabalenka59c3,025$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.35630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Sabalenka58c2,739$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sabalenka50c2,565$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0b…006cbacked Sabalenka65c2,500$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ae…82d3backed Sabalenka62c2,484$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0d…9cd6backed Gauff36c2,450$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Gauff38c2,446$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.65040%20 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gauff41c2,359$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.332,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Sabalenka58c2,307$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97875547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabalenka64c2,194$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.831,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Gauff12c2,000$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Sabalenka65c1,992$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Gauff34c1,967$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4255143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe6…9f5abacked Sabalenka62c1,959$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece9…6507backed Sabalenka50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d30…3d09backed Gauff50c1,950$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…51dbbacked Sabalenka62c1,934$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Gauff15c1,876$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6217442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Sabalenka67c1,876$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.031450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbe1…a551backed Gauff35c1,640$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Gauff44c1,522$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2216644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Gauff36c1,396$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50424852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d92…3a3ebacked Gauff59c1,395$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.05366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b4…2256backed Gauff38c1,328$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Gauff44c1,285$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.562347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…11aabacked Gauff38c1,156$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Gauff30c1,150$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.9522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c52…2ae6backed Gauff41c1,145$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Gauff24c1,141$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…5841backed Sabalenka59c1,141$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.81580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb874…e15ebacked Sabalenka59c1,140$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43d…8e4ebacked Gauff41c1,136$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bb…623ebacked Gauff40c1,136$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61cf…ab45backed Sabalenka64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Gauff51c1,094$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.22,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e9…933fbacked Sabalenka60c1,089$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd357…0c39backed Sabalenka60c1,072$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe01b…b4bcbacked Gauff40c1,025$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Sabalenka59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…2967backed Gauff38c998$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec70…3a28backed Sabalenka58c995$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c42…3307backed Gauff42c986$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x567a…35aabacked Gauff38c986$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc39…0fe7backed Gauff38c973$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64fa…220dbacked Gauff42c968$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9646…bf2bbacked Sabalenka58c959$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Gauff34c952.31$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.3130339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Gauff24c949.91$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.213710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…c6fdbacked Gauff38c936$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe26e…605ebacked Gauff42c935$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…6606backed Sabalenka58c930$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cf…bab7backed Gauff36c927$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Sabalenka43c916.79$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.793354.5%18 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+65.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5ba…3669backed Sabalenka58c901$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972a…76c5backed Sabalenka65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b6…5533backed Sabalenka64c900$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…b557backed Gauff42c896$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Sabalenka64c861.63$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1938348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gauff14c849.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Gauff47c843.12$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fe8…923ebacked Sabalenka65c840$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Gauff34c833.88$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cc…b660backed Gauff11c802.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.97017.1%12 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c6…0c3bbacked Gauff26c802.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…fcf1backed Sabalenka65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Sabalenka63c799.98$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Gauff33c787$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7122629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Sabalenka65c742.52$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.216250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Gauff25c716.67$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Sabalenka52c700$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3354348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Gauff5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Sabalenka51c689.92$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0628833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Sabalenka62c689.78$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3281938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Gauff35c667.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4918241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…831bbacked Sabalenka46c666.42$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8054…ce9bbacked Gauff53c649.97$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Gauff33c631.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.191,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f3…7304backed Gauff35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623a…0b32backed Sabalenka66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Gauff34c599.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.992227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Sabalenka62c596.5$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7610261.8%63 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Sabalenka66c579.2$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.939149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Gauff35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Gauff55c542.84$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.563452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…b502backed Gauff38c533.71$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Gauff35c527.77$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Gauff8c524.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4149632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.