Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217ee03600da5810c543ab721b5e14e6923d1b547c10d7d62785e7ebb19c0c7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed No | 73c | 5,400$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…82a3backed Yes | 27c | 5,200$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 5,166$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…9316backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…e66abacked No | 72c | 3,912$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 43c | 2,052$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.49 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,656$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…1565backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 73c | 1,439$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 58c | 1,181$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.25 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…5e3abacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…7d82backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…51e1backed No | 75c | 995.39$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 915.11$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.33 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 25c | 878.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.76 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 688.48$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 500$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.8 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 486.8$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.59 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…3fadbacked No | 73c | 428.53$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 65c | 410.66$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.93 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…8bf3backed No | 74c | 405.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5c…308ebacked No | 75c | 386.47$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 64c | 309.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…ef26backed No | 75c | 281.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…4115backed No | 75c | 274.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…ebe5backed No | 75c | 266.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 63c | 207.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 35c | 173.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…e07dbacked No | 72c | 165.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 76c | 165$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…0576backed No | 71c | 139.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…a1eebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…b695backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…6703backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 31c | 90.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 75.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…f1b7backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…9d44backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 77c | 48.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 23.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 69c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.