TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes54c74,304$40,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,124.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c65,226$29,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,493.383,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No42c25,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,499.9621237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes57c22,500$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,9004254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No41c14,780$6,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,720.114843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6526…d472backed Yes53c13,168$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No47c11,759$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,232.063444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No41c7,709$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.9415151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c6,259$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.72,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes60c6,195$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.077848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes52c5,822$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.273745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No46c5,069$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,71824557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes47c4,192$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.498636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c3,801$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.0384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No47c3,750$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c3,704$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.9210860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes54c3,620$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No40c3,600$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.8413327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Yes60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No57c2,829$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.312247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32520132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Yes57c2,306$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked No39c2,200$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No48c2,100$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No46c1,843$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.091118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-62%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No42c1,690$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c1,612$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.766637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c1,554$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.2914740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes53c1,545$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.651872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No58c1,507$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.715376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No47c1,486$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7533847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes52c1,450$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes55c1,300$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.332740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No52c1,295$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62520042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes59c1,225$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No52c1,104$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.042755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c1,077$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.9442844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes19c1,060$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6412166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes16c1,050$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes55c1,032$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed No41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No41c999.91$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.942352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes28c921.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.09714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes55c909.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.122737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3872835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No53c860$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes50c859$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes50c800.47$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.312828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4408742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No42c747.62$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.621866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No39c677$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.976949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c650$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39015846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Yes54c608.2$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No42c597.29$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes57c578.59$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.84452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes51c539.02$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.92737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes53c509.6$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6252…495dbacked Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes60c466.67$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2361154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed No45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked No40c399.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x210f…d8c3backed No75c382.59$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No48c352.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.551540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e81…b001backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes56c350$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed No47c349.97$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes58c339$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.628743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked No48c336.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No46c332.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.894746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes53c324.91$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.22839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0284…8384backed Yes47c315.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes57c299.12$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes61c285.61$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b0…eb65backed Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddd…fe59backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No40c277.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.462254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes52c275$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1438456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3303…03afbacked Yes59c272.42$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No49c263.49$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6310143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No47c257.66$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.562352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes44c250.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.561010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x919e…d915backed Yes61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes51c249.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.854522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.