Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3473484b411b56cbf90f8cf63b3ebd72b9c8b93f77dcecb22afb19fa30c2413d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 21,945$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…2f96backed Yes | 0c | 21,020$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 8,600$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.08 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 11c | 5,642$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 19c | 3,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 46c | 2,742$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.15 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 58c | 2,519$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,706$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,443$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 16c | 1,345$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 14c | 1,237$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…37a4backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Yes | 5c | 999.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 52c | 966.48$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.91 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Yes | 17c | 752.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 45c | 709$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked No | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 19c | 520$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 488.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fb63backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 386$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 76c | 357.76$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…1d1dbacked Yes | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…837dbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 52c | 252.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed Yes | 17c | 252$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 39c | 251.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…b7bdbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…35e9backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 15c | 219.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes | 20c | 209.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…d96bbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 198.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 19c | 196.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 67c | 187.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…702ebacked Yes | 20c | 156.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 19c | 151.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…ebebbacked Yes | 19c | 141.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…02abbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 20c | 104.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked No | 54c | 100.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 19c | 95.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked No | 54c | 46.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 74c | 37.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…599bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…0dc6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.