Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec0af826c8c5f3f1c6741f3297bcca423af499eed7a5f726560e05275345d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 72c | 5,480$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 3,317$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.05 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 66c | 2,113$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Yes | 29c | 1,400$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 77c | 1,239$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,116$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,061$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 908$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.12 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 714.3$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 556.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 511.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 28c | 353.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 242.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 71c | 221$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…29f6backed Yes | 28c | 203.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 71c | 182.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 149.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 148.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 134.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 27c | 133.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes | 27c | 99.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 27c | 86.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 23c | 61.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 75c | 57.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 22c | 56.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 73c | 56.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 23c | 54.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 28c | 39.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…9636backed Yes | 29c | 34.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 76c | 24.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 69c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.