La Liga · resolved market
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763d656cd76ea0a37fbd64124617d0642555f28b0fa07ea502a142b6ae8f0598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 6,983$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 32c | 6,105$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.3 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 61c | 5,050$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 2,488$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 2,038$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.9 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 1,925$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.58 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 32c | 1,147$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.62 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 52c | 802.33$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 59c | 530$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 62c | 529.03$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 61c | 153.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 34c | 97.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 65c | 82.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 61c | 57.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Over | 61c | 47.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 59c | 46.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 32c | 43.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…12d4backed Under | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0cd1backed Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 60c | 22.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…1bcbbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Getafe vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.