South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe04fffa1053d48f5dede424f5e7556894e1390c485227280d0244dcc61f70130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 50,000$28,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,700 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 25c | 29,599$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.63 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 71c | 15,454$10,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,972.34 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 3,509$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.51 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 34c | 2,161$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.02 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 76c | 1,216$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 25c | 1,191$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 75c | 1,171$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 1,084$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.54 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 73c | 1,023$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5015…b938backed Yes | 64c | 759.06$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 645$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 28c | 355.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 77c | 336.62$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 302$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 79c | 297$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 25c | 223.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 21c | 205.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 38c | 194.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…3390backed Yes | 78c | 176.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 40c | 175.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…895cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 78c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Yes | 78c | 89.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Yes | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked Yes | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…dfeebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd0…dff3backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will CF América vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.