Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02cb14b0b354a3e8813df6d40f20c38b8f146399c0fe898d1af80776fb52ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 26,494$14,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,488.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 27c | 10,700$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 47c | 2,445$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 77c | 2,338$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 46c | 2,300$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 75c | 1,023$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.88 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 75c | 650$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 75c | 385.86$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 71c | 355.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 76c | 334.11$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 56c | 217.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 74c | 201$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 24c | 178$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 58c | 156.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 77c | 117$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 75c | 80.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 75.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 25c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 56c | 53.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 76c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 76c | 46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 32c | 45.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 30.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…5f39backed Over | 47c | 24.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over | 47c | 22.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 75c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.