Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f95a502f62c16be607de7fb56930f4662ba5cfe318514d41ea0a36b5dfc797b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 79c | 8,800$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.96 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 12c | 896.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 29c | 849.33$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 29c | 554.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 412.85$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 29c | 213.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 70c | 141$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 70c | 139$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…4175backed Over | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Under | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Over | 15c | 72.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…0c5cbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 72c | 27.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.