Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16873f64975780c17f18900c7ed35b467b338cf740409cd7dabd41eaf8874ee7

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Kostyuk
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $462,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $566,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Kostyuk	10c	35,473$3,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,444.15	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Kostyuk	27c	23,593$6,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,313.77	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Kostyuk	9c	22,146$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.49	191	34%65 W · 126 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Kostyuk	23c	18,385$4,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,228.64	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Kostyuk	23c	15,991$3,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,677.93	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kostyuk	12c	11,099$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.22	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Kostyuk	16c	10,500$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Sabalenka	76c	10,000$7,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.99	443	60%266 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Kostyuk	27c	9,203$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	284	44.7%127 W · 157 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Kostyuk	18c	8,299$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525.78	124	42.7%53 W · 71 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Kostyuk	27c	7,300$1,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,946.73	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kostyuk	24c	7,129$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.95	254	28%71 W · 183 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Kostyuk	26c	5,976$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.68	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Sabalenka	78c	5,855$4,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,288.13	35	74.3%26 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	67cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Kostyuk	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	430	51.2%220 W · 210 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Sabalenka	77c	4,812$3,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.76	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Sabalenka	77c	3,896$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.1	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Kostyuk	0c	3,796$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Sabalenka	74c	3,500$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	454	57.9%263 W · 191 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kostyuk	22c	3,344$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.66	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Kostyuk	6c	3,339$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.78	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabalenka	74c	3,302$2,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.18	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kostyuk	17c	2,999$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.86	819	38.9%319 W · 500 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Kostyuk	6c	2,833$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.47	123	13.8%17 W · 106 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Sabalenka	76c	2,632$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.58	369	68%251 W · 118 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Sabalenka	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.95	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kostyuk	16c	2,221$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.62	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Kostyuk	10c	2,192$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.4	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Sabalenka	73c	1,968$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.49	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Kostyuk	24c	1,929$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Kostyuk	27c	1,913$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.1	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Kostyuk	16c	1,893$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kostyuk	8c	1,847$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.86	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc6…b975backed Kostyuk	24c	1,640$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Sabalenka	74c	1,600$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.78	466	49.8%232 W · 234 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked Kostyuk	21c	1,576$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Sabalenka	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	586	39.6%232 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7a…abb7backed Kostyuk	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kostyuk	23c	1,400$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	441	25.4%112 W · 329 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Kostyuk	8c	1,313$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.02	107	29%31 W · 76 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Sabalenka	77c	1,300$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	440	38.4%169 W · 271 L	-27.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kostyuk	17c	1,294$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.51	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kostyuk	24c	1,071$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.57	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Sabalenka	77c	1,054$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.62	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Sabalenka	77c	1,039$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.96	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sabalenka	73c	1,018$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.85	781	52.8%412 W · 369 L	+21.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Kostyuk	17c	817.97$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc669…53eabacked Kostyuk	15c	768.69$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.61	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Sabalenka	73c	738$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.26	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sabalenka	73c	674$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.88	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kostyuk	23c	657$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.83	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b04…8750backed Kostyuk	3c	649.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kostyuk	25c	638$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1e…c162backed Sabalenka	74c	614.58$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	71cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kostyuk	23c	588.87$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.07	551	43.4%239 W · 312 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Sabalenka	72c	555.54$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.55	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Kostyuk	2c	516$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	-32.4wins	-0.21per pick	27cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Sabalenka	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	146	63%92 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed Sabalenka	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Kostyuk	23c	489.99$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	156	46.8%73 W · 83 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Kostyuk	26c	443.87$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	360	38.9%140 W · 220 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Kostyuk	5c	399.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cc…b660backed Kostyuk	5c	399.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	70	17.1%12 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f0…fdf8backed Sabalenka	76c	367.09$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.1	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	72cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Kostyuk	17c	361.9$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	216	55.6%120 W · 96 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe798…b668backed Sabalenka	75c	354.04$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.51	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kostyuk	24c	323.38$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.31	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Sabalenka	76c	322.07$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.35	248	44.8%111 W · 137 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Sabalenka	76c	300.21$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.05	128	61.7%79 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Sabalenka	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	75cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e69…4ab2backed Kostyuk	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked Sabalenka	76c	291.11$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.87	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	72cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Sabalenka	77c	278.54$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.69	236	70.8%167 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Sabalenka	73c	267.12$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.12	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6b…bd34backed Kostyuk	4c	253$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Kostyuk	28c	250$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed Kostyuk	18c	229.12$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.26	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Kostyuk	24c	208.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kostyuk	15c	204.69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Sabalenka	78c	202.72$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.6	96	69.8%67 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Sabalenka	76c	200$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc52…bdeebacked Kostyuk	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Kostyuk	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	593	48.9%290 W · 303 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Sabalenka	77c	200$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…ebbabacked Kostyuk	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Kostyuk	6c	199$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sabalenka	73c	194.82$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.1	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…0fd2backed Kostyuk	24c	191.64$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.14	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbb…7740backed Sabalenka	76c	190.88$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kostyuk	20c	160.82$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	276	27.2%75 W · 201 L	-25.2wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Sabalenka	78c	156.65$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.98	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acb…ba37backed Sabalenka	77c	150$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea8…4e59backed Sabalenka	77c	150$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Kostyuk	26c	144$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Sabalenka	80c	137.51$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	153	64.1%98 W · 55 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182f…87d2backed Sabalenka	74c	136$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.38	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+6.3wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Kostyuk	11c	132.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c5…92a9backed Sabalenka	76c	131.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Sabalenka	73c	125$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d35…8518backed Kostyuk	14c	115.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyukthis page
Sabalenka vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Sabalenka vs. Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs KostyukSabalenka won
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)Sabalenka won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event