TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8a1…2974backed Yes5c8,593$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.491241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes16c5,903$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.842,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c3,869$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes1c3,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%0 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c1,774$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.752,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c1,400$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes22c1,250$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c1,157$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c1,005$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.981,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes12c924.55$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.742123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes26c856.03$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5713447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe309…958dbacked No77c491.45$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.458100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes4c457.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes26c375$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c340.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…ac93backed Yes6c299.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No75c225$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked No75c220.1$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes29c172.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No71c168.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.942048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No74c165$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.937554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No79c165$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.357946.8%37 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c165$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes26c158.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3937958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c102$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes16c101.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.286741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No74c95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.725553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b8…6b25backed No77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.427354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes25c86.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.126158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.132255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.130554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.125456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.126058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.132656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No74c85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.128255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No73c83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.037753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed Yes26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1329657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.845442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.126959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.826259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.825858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.827758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.825558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.822958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.825560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.822858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.820556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.817456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.47452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No77c16.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7327173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No77c14.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.