Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d4c026fa0e84600d972dffd3ad2bd3e1acf3e3718f6d7a5c7edb5b0300681b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 6,214$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…204dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,174$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed No | 71c | 1,457$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,456$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,140$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,128$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 17c | 999.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…703cbacked Yes | 32c | 951.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 610.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 513.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 382.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 22c | 353.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 317.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 298.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 295.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 277.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 263.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe85…c7dfbacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 196.21$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 189.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 29c | 167.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 31c | 163.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 30c | 157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 30c | 148$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 138.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 80c | 131.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 30c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…300cbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…cb73backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes | 29c | 100.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…92a1backed Yes | 18c | 86.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 19c | 79.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 42.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 70c | 18.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed No | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.