Fifa International · resolved market
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a4fb0e73d1193132d3133184c07d0cac8841036c8c829d136f501766aea098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 9,698$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…c05cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,778$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 79c | 2,241$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.51 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,230$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…47eebacked Yes | 7c | 1,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,020$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 20c | 435.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 17c | 385.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 296$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 10c | 248.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 18c | 244.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 19c | 200.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…300cbacked Yes | 20c | 200.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 162.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 149.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 80c | 131.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f32…9c3bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 80c | 100.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…e396backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Yes | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 80.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 71.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 17c | 69.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 17c | 62.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…21dfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…734bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 29.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Algeria vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?No won
- Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.