South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e4725fe760b42d59f8a8f1b2f4257c1f7f2411a487113cc2f40aa4cdc0f18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,829$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 46c | 1,212$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.69 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 947.66$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.65 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 36c | 779$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.36 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 579.02$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.14 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 70c | 571.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 563.57$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 38c | 492.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 427.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 55c | 350.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 324.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 39c | 289.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 52c | 281.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed No | 63c | 259.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 243$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 26c | 219.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 35c | 159.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 24c | 151$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 32c | 124.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 57c | 119.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 39c | 116.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 64c | 109.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 37c | 84.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 63.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Yes | 78c | 46.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 28c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 31.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…cb5dbacked Yes | 37c | 27.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 63c | 27.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf549…102fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 19.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked No | 63c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.