South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269cd4a12720ddf586ddcf0086b3dd4fde87bd943fbfb4f9a7d646cbef4a72e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 28c | 6,510$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,815$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 3c | 2,400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked No | 78c | 1,851$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 1,595$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.82 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 894.26$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 831.08$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 775.24$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 13c | 769.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 18c | 647.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 23c | 543$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 543$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 410.91$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 27c | 372.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 359.19$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 341.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 27c | 320$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 288.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 281.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…20dfbacked Yes | 19c | 236.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 219.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 75c | 218.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 24c | 209.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 10c | 166.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…5779backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 109.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…6656backed Yes | 24c | 99.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 77c | 96.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 16c | 80.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 66.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…2882backed Yes | 26c | 61.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…b59abacked Yes | 22c | 53.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 28c | 38.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 75c | 36.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked No | 78c | 31.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…174ebacked No | 79c | 20.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 75c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 76c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Platense end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.