South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827c8f8f3fda3a217b37e609a969f5a855f145e229f36d6ae57a81ac17f622e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 37c | 7,863$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 1,536$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,203$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked No | 68c | 1,190$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.89 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 79c | 1,012$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 26c | 859.12$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 836.54$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 65c | 512$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 249.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 148.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 141.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 16c | 117.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 109.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 35c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 40c | 97.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…a283backed Yes | 34c | 80.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked No | 63c | 79.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 74.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 70.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 63c | 66.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 36c | 65.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 64c | 57.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 52.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 50.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed No | 61c | 48.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 47.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 38c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…03fabacked Yes | 37c | 29.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Yes | 36c | 28.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 17.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 64c | 16.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-02?No won
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Platense end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.