Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf97532e3517099e22a916d05968f2c9a8425b3f9105501f8b25ae1a58e86eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baezof Shelton, Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Baez | 46c | 36,569$16,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,715.06 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Baez | 52c | 32,600$16,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,621.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Baez | 23c | 26,998$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,708.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shelton | 62c | 17,371$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,749.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Shelton | 48c | 16,607$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,981.73 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Shelton | 47c | 12,491$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.59 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shelton | 52c | 11,950$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Shelton | 46c | 10,857$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.52 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Shelton | 77c | 10,712$8,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,247.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Baez | 57c | 8,747$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Shelton | 48c | 8,732$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Baez | 51c | 8,720$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Shelton | 70c | 7,832$5,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,446.88 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shelton | 49c | 7,465$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Baez | 53c | 7,159$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shelton | 44c | 7,059$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.75 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shelton | 50c | 6,646$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Shelton | 49c | 6,093$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Baez | 25c | 5,358$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.69 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Baez | 44c | 5,262$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shelton | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Baez | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.97 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Baez | 49c | 4,921$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.29 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Shelton | 48c | 4,907$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Baez | 53c | 4,600$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Baez | 39c | 4,341$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.62 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Shelton | 78c | 4,243$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.95 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Baez | 30c | 4,242$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2ac1backed Shelton | 49c | 4,084$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Shelton | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Baez | 70c | 3,898$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.97 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Shelton | 52c | 3,868$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shelton | 47c | 3,750$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shelton | 76c | 3,700$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shelton | 44c | 3,352$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baez | 41c | 3,167$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.16 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Shelton | 33c | 2,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Shelton | 77c | 2,297$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.36 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Shelton | 26c | 2,290$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Shelton | 51c | 2,009$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.35 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Shelton | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Shelton | 50c | 1,981$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Shelton | 51c | 1,963$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Baez | 32c | 1,956$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.86 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Baez | 53c | 1,896$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.44 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Shelton | 58c | 1,869$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.07 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Baez | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.61 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Baez | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.45 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Baez | 54c | 1,850$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Shelton | 77c | 1,849$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.79 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Baez | 39c | 1,816$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.04 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Shelton | 76c | 1,810$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.6 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed Baez | 54c | 1,779$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Shelton | 54c | 1,677$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shelton | 48c | 1,647$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.6 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Shelton | 49c | 1,602$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.82 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Shelton | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.96 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Shelton | 63c | 1,376$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.55 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Baez | 57c | 1,371$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Shelton | 47c | 1,319$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.48 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Shelton | 76c | 1,209$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.84 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shelton | 49c | 1,190$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.99 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Baez | 24c | 1,189$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.64 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed Shelton | 50c | 1,175$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Baez | 55c | 1,164$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Shelton | 73c | 1,144$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Shelton | 53c | 1,117$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Shelton | 67c | 1,079$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.94 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Shelton | 52c | 1,054$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.55 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Baez | 51c | 1,053$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Shelton | 56c | 1,028$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.53 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Shelton | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Shelton | 48c | 1,014$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Baez | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Shelton | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Shelton | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…0a1bbacked Shelton | 48c | 992.63$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…4e38backed Shelton | 52c | 970.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Shelton | 21c | 952$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Baez | 53c | 943.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.69 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed Shelton | 77c | 925.13$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Shelton | 42c | 900$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Shelton | 23c | 881.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Shelton | 64c | 860$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.38 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Shelton | 59c | 851.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Baez | 44c | 850.45$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.75 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Baez | 53c | 755.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.95 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Baez | 45c | 736.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.42 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baez | 30c | 683.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.38 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Shelton | 53c | 673.64$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…c162backed Shelton | 50c | 669.12$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…7811backed Baez | 54c | 661.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baez | 53c | 654.87$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Baez | 52c | 654$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Shelton | 29c | 650$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Baez | 54c | 601.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Shelton | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Baez | 52c | 599.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.63 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Baez | 43c | 581.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton | 41c | 578.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.97 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs BaezBaez won
- Shelton vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.