Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bcd50b322c8dfda26359037e0e1a649831b6ac680eb6fa17ffe6aefd7b9e745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,265$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.94 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 71c | 2,761$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,165$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 737$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.27 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 271$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 30c | 263.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 64c | 219.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 186.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 170.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 62c | 144.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 117.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 31c | 89.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 76.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 56.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…1335backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…7880backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed No | 56c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…d6b4backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 18.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.