Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccae652bf7f866fbd0ff7542906a94f045b798b640126f1276b9979311868e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 43c | 4,158$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 3,638$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.53 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 1,845$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.59 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,150$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 21c | 1,093$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 589.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 587.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.51 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 567.23$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 10c | 395$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…873dbacked Yes | 76c | 326.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 261.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 70c | 247.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 217$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 58c | 197.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 20c | 177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 160.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 143.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 69c | 122.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yes | 42c | 79.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 65.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 53.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 47.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…56bbbacked No | 80c | 31.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…d6b4backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Torino vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.