South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31be41e9675539280bb9c2a1e8b7f99cd75120e3c3c6c85dd156f0b6c59392bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe081…9820backed No | 47c | 3,703$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…e87abacked Yes | 53c | 3,703$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 3,114$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.21 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 56c | 2,249$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 30c | 2,073$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.19 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 54c | 1,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.46 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 1,034$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…e173backed Yes | 54c | 490$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9eb0backed No | 46c | 490$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…96aebacked No | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…ad91backed Yes | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…665bbacked Yes | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…f323backed No | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 56c | 420.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…874dbacked Yes | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f9…0c6abacked No | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 44c | 410.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 21c | 338.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…3d37backed Yes | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7a79backed No | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 57c | 261.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 44c | 153.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 79c | 130.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…d618backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 55c | 116.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 44c | 114.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 58c | 103.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 54c | 41.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…3c28backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 58c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…30f2backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…ce4dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 50c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 51c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…43dcbacked Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…b969backed Yes | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2025-10-17?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.