Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c5c87a53991a5ade6b7afb3b5201a66db5e3198e5276a52350edc0aa533595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 76c | 9,441$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 8,748$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.07 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 24c | 8,335$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.51 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…7326backed Yes | 2c | 8,297$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 77c | 7,792$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,182$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.66 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 3,605$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.75 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,751$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 2,087$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.92 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,960$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 1,758$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 24c | 1,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,297$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,251$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.75 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 77c | 1,158$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed No | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 24c | 932.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 23c | 930$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 75c | 780$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 38c | 736.9$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.06 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 47c | 641.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 23c | 582.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…b2d8backed Yes | 20c | 541.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 34c | 442.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 67c | 434.83$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 24c | 412.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 77c | 306$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 24c | 294.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 77c | 280.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 40c | 227.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 213.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…e1d0backed Yes | 72c | 170.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…081cbacked Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 39c | 139.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes | 47c | 135.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…6556backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…2833backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…c60dbacked Yes | 73c | 111.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…6a0bbacked Yes | 73c | 103.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…e39dbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 24c | 98.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…8694backed Yes | 24c | 97.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…e2d6backed No | 66c | 86.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…271fbacked Yes | 72c | 84.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…694cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked Yes | 27c | 79.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 61c | 78.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 61c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 40c | 76.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed No | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 51c | 72.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf78d…ea1dbacked Yes | 28c | 69.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed No | 68c | 68.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…5b31backed Yes | 76c | 68.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…a6edbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 22c | 60.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…4dccbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…e825backed Yes | 75c | 58.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 63c | 57.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.