TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43b2…a6ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.61
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$84.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.4%+$61.8
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$21.1
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.71
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.11
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.67
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.48
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.18
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.