La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ff526cd53d0434690082f1ab16626525a082b250ccc6fecc14a910b39e423c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 11,192$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,219$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.5 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 16c | 817.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 53c | 642.55$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.4 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 513.07$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 50c | 487.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 443.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Under | 7c | 432.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Over | 52c | 396.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 58c | 311.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Under | 21c | 289$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 207.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 52c | 94.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 84.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 48c | 68.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…e803backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…e50dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 50c | 49.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…b6eabacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 43.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…a2e7backed Over | 51c | 40.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 51c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…a6edbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…0babbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…ba0dbacked Over | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 57c | 28.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ef73backed Over | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 58c | 17.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Barcelona vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.