South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a213e66aa0639dfde3ea2e932735e38ce2d715cd5068b0e40fea336d09f86b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500.05 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 21,363$11,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,536.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 4,672$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.08 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 3,676$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 55c | 3,480$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 2,374$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.54 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 1,044$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.84 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 620.09$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 498.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 472.93$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 466.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 54c | 463$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef4…0402backed Yes | 46c | 434.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 47c | 429.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 44c | 406.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…937bbacked Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 47c | 245$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…6e6fbacked No | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…651dbacked No | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…18b9backed Yes | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ba09backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…d418backed No | 55c | 208$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2960…2a02backed Yes | 45c | 207$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…158abacked Yes | 45c | 198$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…eff1backed No | 55c | 197$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 55c | 162.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 54c | 157.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 148.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 46c | 139.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 133$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 47c | 119.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…53aabacked Yes | 46c | 108.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 29c | 99.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0902backed Yes | 46c | 86.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 46c | 83.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 46c | 67.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Yes | 65c | 66.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 47c | 64.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…52dabacked Yes | 47c | 62.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 48c | 58.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…c0c8backed No | 56c | 54.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 46c | 45.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 46c | 44.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 45c | 37.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 54c | 36.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 70c | 35.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…d89dbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.