China Taiwan · resolved market

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079e4294c6f16283dcafa9d54a71c078cd46c7e0ea2a05aec372cecf0cc85692

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $64,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,323 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	2c	7,606$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.69	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6872…876fbacked Yes	0c	7,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5741…381cbacked Yes	0c	5,215$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	63c	5,151$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,910.75	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes	38c	4,241$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,591.6	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	30cpaid	+152.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	15c	1,334$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	1,074$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked No	68c	703.22$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.84	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	20c	685.25$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.85	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes	18c	628.14$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.09	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	39cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	12c	624.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd987…9381backed No	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f1…89c4backed Yes	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	35cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	13c	483.62$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e9…1f00backed Yes	42c	440.61$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No	65c	424.94$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.83	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	60cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes	27c	369.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…d3aebacked Yes	6c	356.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No	66c	349.96$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.95	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cc3…334fbacked Yes	4c	326.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	67c	320$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	9c	279.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	33c	271.21$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12e4…dfc2backed No	43c	252.41$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.87	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+5.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+683.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed No	73c	239.92$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No	55c	224.07$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	25	84%21 W · 4 L	+9.7wins	+0.39per pick	45cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	72+0.19 edge/pick
0x81bc…17dabacked Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa782…f68dbacked Yes	24c	209.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	8c	207.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff9…d1fbbacked No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	33c	199.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes	34c	199.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	30c	199.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.35per pick	43cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d5b…5d41backed No	76c	183.28$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+5.1wins	+0.34per pick	53cpaid	+70%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1874…09c7backed Yes	28c	177.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	17c	174.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…33b5backed Yes	6c	172.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…9cbabacked No	80c	163.55$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…a265backed Yes	36c	163.49$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed No	63c	159.95$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.95	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.7wins	+0.47per pick	41cpaid	+165.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed No	79c	159.59$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.79	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+5.3wins	+0.41per pick	52cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xed1f…893cbacked Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+5.1wins	+0.47per pick	17cpaid	+365.2%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3068…083dbacked No	69c	156.67$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.57	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x630f…9f59backed Yes	28c	150$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…835dbacked Yes	18c	149.17$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d30…91d6backed Yes	46c	138$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.76	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed No	76c	132.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.39	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Yes	34c	129.37$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…7ffabacked No	79c	127.11$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.11	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes	26c	121$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked No	56c	120$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+4.2wins	+0.46per pick	43cpaid	+140.2%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	17c	119.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa898…71c1backed Yes	27c	107.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a3…9f40backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Yes	23c	99.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Yes	30c	99.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	78c	92.49$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.35	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes	34c	91.87$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No	66c	90.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.94	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+4.5wins	+0.41per pick	50cpaid	+117.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf72…f7cebacked Yes	33c	90.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691c…71cabacked Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb16b…3a57backed Yes	44c	79.79$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52cc…fefbbacked Yes	32c	77.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	37c	77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…eca5backed Yes	38c	74.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	34c	71.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…3556backed Yes	44c	68.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05df…882dbacked Yes	35c	68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e3…9188backed No	67c	63.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc80f…93c8backed Yes	18c	63.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked Yes	52c	62.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5381…f932backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9a…b78ebacked Yes	31c	56.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Yes	34c	56.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes	37c	54.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc62b…1f5cbacked Yes	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	32c	51.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.44	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…e248backed Yes	30c	50.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d2…8703backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce3…1689backed Yes	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2b…2030backed No	65c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9da…9a0cbacked No	67c	49.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	74cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…e93dbacked Yes	37c	49.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	38c	48.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	127	7.9%10 W · 117 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	25c	48.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd298…bc1cbacked No	62c	48.32$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No	58c	45.24$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+4.9wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1855…68a0backed Yes	42c	45.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…f25fbacked No	49c	43.82$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.35	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	60cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f20…83cabacked Yes	38c	42.46$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fab…14a3backed No	62c	41.37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…4682backed Yes	29c	41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a3…0db0backed No	69c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event