Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab513e066653193ca2bbbd54a935f6617394806c328c253b83a6e37d56fcd8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 3,351$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.12 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 2,095$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.05 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,303$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,150$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 4c | 663.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6bc6backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 396.35$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 73c | 194$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 190.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…df84backed Yes | 68c | 185.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 29c | 102.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 92.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 22c | 89.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 84.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 83.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 37c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…01cbbacked No | 77c | 43.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 43.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 52c | 39.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 80c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.