Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13db12100fcdc5794352d1d32f11d2c674bf10050f463cf6d68e39c042350fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 8,967$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 29c | 8,564$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,064.33 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 7,393$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,458.98 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 4,538$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.14 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 2,524$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.23 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 13c | 2,513$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.28 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 924.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.49 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Yes | 54c | 670.27$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 11c | 544$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 506$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 55c | 479.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 46c | 444.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 410$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.03 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 54c | 369.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked Yes | 53c | 354.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 8c | 299.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 298.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 46c | 269.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 54c | 268.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 224.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 13c | 219.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 205.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 195.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 194$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 194$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Yes | 35c | 194$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Yes | 28c | 175.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 46c | 164.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 79c | 149.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 123.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 53c | 122.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 28c | 117$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 100.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 52c | 84.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed No | 19c | 75.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 48c | 72.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 47c | 71.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 47c | 71.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 45c | 70.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 51c | 69.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 69.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 46c | 68.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 66.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…e478backed No | 47c | 52.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 51.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 49.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 28c | 39.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Yes | 68c | 36.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 74c | 35.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 46c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 27.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 64c | 25.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 45c | 22.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 72c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.