Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf527ae690f3ee4ea4159347152a93b133b0553b9074eafcb479f26b37b869658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 4,604$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 4,185$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 2,456$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.16 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 2,095$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.15 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 1,524$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.49 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 1,038$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.63 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,028$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 50c | 672.49$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.25 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 76c | 657$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 585.28$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 23c | 519$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 51c | 508.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 504.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 50c | 490.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 45c | 318.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked Yes | 23c | 312.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 309.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 44c | 308.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 291$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 261.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 42c | 247.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 238$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed No | 59c | 194$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 57c | 177.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 46c | 175.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 50c | 158.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 66c | 154.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 153.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 130.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 23c | 130.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6bc6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 49c | 111.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…df84backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 98.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 90.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 51c | 75.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 39c | 68.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 21c | 68.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 48c | 62.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 57.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 47c | 56.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 57c | 56.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 22c | 48.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 39c | 48.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 44.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…01cbbacked No | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 50c | 42.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 61c | 42.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 55c | 39.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 50c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…f247backed Yes | 46c | 32.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 45c | 31.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 54c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Yes | 53c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 77c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.