TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x255a…23c0backed Yes9c23,195$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes4c6,621$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.862025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed Yes8c5,900$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.973633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes4c5,757$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes11c4,763$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes4c2,858$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.743713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes10c2,500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.212420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes8c1,634$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.51348.8%3 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes7c1,283$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.748529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,148$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.293766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c1,130$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.633016.7%5 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes4c1,030$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.231421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Yes4c1,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes10c900$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.981625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes6c888.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.037233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes4c865.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.57591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23b…af4bbacked Yes5c800$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes13c782.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes3c781.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Yes7c754.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes4c731.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad78…2e2dbacked Yes7c715.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbc…90d5backed Yes4c700$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes6c680.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes15c669.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4886…f7cdbacked Yes15c667.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7566…ae05backed Yes4c666.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-65.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9096…17dcbacked Yes8c653.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes3c647.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes3c642.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.996819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes4c631.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3112419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes4c599.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c595.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8714429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42ab…3e26backed Yes6c578.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa708…9abbbacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No72c556.88$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.464148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes10c531$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes7c517.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes9c512.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…ad47backed Yes7c500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Yes9c499.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b8…f998backed Yes8c492.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71c…de8dbacked Yes7c488.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e5…da90backed Yes4c487.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Yes7c467.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.48616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e82…a06cbacked Yes4c457.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c419.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9210128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c401.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.345317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd31…d389backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…a297backed Yes6c378.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Yes5c377.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes5c370.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672e…36ccbacked Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a7…a095backed Yes9c345.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-83.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…c619backed Yes4c341.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Yes4c333.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e76…d740backed Yes5c332.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3894…87a3backed Yes5c304.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8175backed Yes7c300.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+141.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.855619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b84…3e61backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…88b8backed Yes9c299.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f97…87c8backed Yes7c299.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes6c269.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.059333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Yes7c268.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes6c265.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d18…c3d6backed Yes12c264.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6370%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x251e…ec23backed Yes8c250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930f…1063backed Yes4c247.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…03a9backed Yes10c206.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes15c202.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2389…5158backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe35c…be03backed Yes8c193.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09b…1fc0backed Yes14c182.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes9c174.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1950%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes12c166.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Yes12c165.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes7c156.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed Yes10c153.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15b…d178backed Yes10c152.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes11c139.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes10c133.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4f…c57fbacked Yes9c132.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Yes13c126.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…0fd1backed Yes12c122.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b9b…ab53backed Yes9c116.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea08…6191backed Yes10c102.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes11c101.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2556…4222backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Yes12c90.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.